Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 121.073790 137.742329 156.125264 177.945257 203.193307 231.553688 265.913233
2026-01-25 96.727784 118.364720 144.224114 177.571487 219.671255 271.362606 340.110462
2026-02-01 83.203805 107.224845 137.631990 179.275128 235.329278 308.882615 413.882519
2026-02-08 72.049292 96.715538 129.393838 176.356172 242.937765 335.188478 474.842487
2026-02-15 64.942312 90.304406 125.259623 177.660390 255.441315 368.570520 549.152980
2026-02-22 59.520589 85.392363 122.326580 179.830665 268.802515 404.066024 630.782500
2026-03-01 53.318991 78.574897 115.739215 175.534085 271.466002 423.108509 688.547452
2026-03-08 48.317818 72.969125 110.264038 172.112685 274.731203 442.954778 749.691514
2026-03-15 44.481171 68.732216 106.389792 170.650804 280.732012 467.580459 821.958496
2026-03-22 42.782480 67.661530 107.331354 177.034785 300.427959 517.558527 946.647204
2026-03-29 40.989250 66.241748 107.514362 182.050654 318.154344 565.990124 1075.407790
2026-04-05 38.332609 63.138107 104.573945 181.248064 325.180735 595.444919 1171.068041
2026-04-12 36.381235 61.295215 104.008860 185.387282 343.329516 651.155310 1335.904973
2026-04-19 33.842525 58.229185 101.064366 184.935999 352.913253 692.074464 1478.564613
2026-04-26 31.903966 56.031234 99.427778 186.714665 367.052050 744.211579 1656.102717
2026-05-03 29.527746 52.806955 95.567648 183.661203 370.804449 774.809277 1789.353863
2026-05-10 27.948801 50.915353 94.017483 185.025392 383.994825 827.902565 1987.738736
2026-05-17 26.621068 49.375056 92.980923 187.295587 399.405770 888.299061 2217.196455
2026-05-24 24.673526 46.462816 88.966798 182.801320 398.995327 911.457616 2352.958530
2026-05-31 23.003093 43.959782 85.550273 179.222881 400.219324 938.724154 2505.822068
2026-06-07 21.681987 42.050401 83.178379 177.694006 406.088911 978.457803 2703.031567
2026-06-14 21.224396 41.864358 84.376769 184.371008 432.813111 1076.119629 3095.196312
2026-06-21 20.657747 41.400910 84.935473 189.617922 456.694076 1170.294240 3500.169416